Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 11?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 11?
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70 or below
–No price
70 or below
71 to 72
–No price
71 to 72
73 to 74
–No price
73 to 74
75 to 76
–No price
75 to 76
77 to 78
–No price
77 to 78
79 or above
–No price
79 or above
Will the highest temperature recorded at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) in San Francisco for 2026-11-11 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) be less than or equal to 70F? Outcome verified from NWS Climatological Report.
- Upcoming: Event startNov 11, 2026 at 3:00 AM EST
- Upcoming: Market closesNov 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 11?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 11?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.