Will the temperature in San Jose (SJC Airport) drop below 40F in December 2026?
Will the temperature in San Jose (SJC Airport) drop below 40F in December 2026?
Below 40F
–No price
Below 40F
Will the temperature recorded at San Jose (SJC Airport) in San Jose, California be strictly less than 40 degrees Fahrenheit on any day in December 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)? Outcome verified from NWS Climatological Report.
- Upcoming: Event startOct 1, 2026 at 5:18 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesDec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Will the temperature in San Jose (SJC Airport) drop below 40F in December 2026?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Will the temperature in San Jose (SJC Airport) drop below 40F in December 2026?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.