Trump's Approval Rating on Oct 30?
Trump's Approval Rating on Oct 30?
119 chatting
Below 37.8
–No price
Below 37.8
37.8 - 38.0
39%39¢2.564
37.8 - 38.0
2.56x
38.1 - 38.3
5%5¢20.000
38.1 - 38.3
20.0x
38.4 - 38.6
–No price
38.4 - 38.6
38.7 - 38.9
60%60¢1.667
38.7 - 38.9
1.67x
39.0 - 39.2
11%11¢9.091
39.0 - 39.2
9.09x
39.3 - 39.5
17%17¢5.882
39.3 - 39.5
5.88x
Above 39.5
16%16¢6.250
Above 39.5
6.25x
This market will settle to Yes if Donald Trump's approval rating, as published by RealClearPolitics, is less than 37.8 at 5:00 PM ET on Friday, October 30, 2026. Outcome sourced from RealClearPolitics.
Donald Trump's approval rating is the figure published in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval," published by RealClearPolitics at: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating
For full rules, see: https://www.polymarketexchange.com/files/products/PMUS%20-%20PARC%20-%20(2026.09.29).pdf
- Upcoming: Event startOct 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesOct 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM EDT
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Trump's Approval Rating on Oct 30?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Trump's Approval Rating on Oct 30?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.