Trump Resigns?
By December 31, 2027
29%+24529¢3.448
By December 31, 2027
Yes
3.45x
No
1.35x
By December 31, 2026
11%+80911¢9.091
By December 31, 2026
Yes
9.09x
No
1.08x
This market will settle to Yes if Donald Trump resigns as the President of the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from Donald Trump and the White House.
Resignation refers to Donald Trump formally ceasing to hold the position of President of the United States through self-initiated means, including, but not limited to, resignation and retirement. Externally-imposed departures and announcements of future resignations do not qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person's duties in the specified position do not qualify. Ceasing to hold the specified position through non-self-initiated means does not qualify.
- Upcoming: Event startDec 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: Market closesDec 31, 2027 at 6:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Trump Resigns?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Trump Resigns?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.