Tesla Q3 Total Deliveries?
Above 470k
94%-156794¢1.064
Above 470k
Yes
1.06x
No
4.0x
Above 450k
88%-73388¢1.136
Above 450k
Yes
1.14x
No
7.69x
Above 440k
87%-66987¢1.149
Above 440k
Yes
1.15x
No
6.67x
Above 460k
85%-56785¢1.176
Above 460k
Yes
1.18x
No
5.56x
Above 480k
71%-24571¢1.408
Above 480k
Yes
1.41x
No
3.13x
Above 500k
55%-12255¢1.818
Above 500k
Yes
1.82x
No
2.08x
Above 490k
50%-10050¢2.000
Above 490k
Yes
2.0x
No
1.92x
Above 510k
48%+10848¢2.083
Above 510k
Yes
2.08x
No
1.61x
Above 520k
32%+21232¢3.125
Above 520k
Yes
3.13x
No
1.39x
This market will settle to Yes if Tesla reports total deliveries greater than 440000 for the 3rd fiscal quarter of 2026. Outcome sourced from Tesla.
The total deliveries figure will be determined from official filings, disclosures, and communications issued by Tesla, including the quarterly Production, Deliveries & Deployments release.
- Upcoming: Event startOct 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesOct 2, 2026 at 7:59 PM EDT
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Tesla Q3 Total Deliveries?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Tesla Q3 Total Deliveries?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.