If Tom Aspinall holds the UFC Heavyweight Title on December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST, this market will settle to Yes. Outcome verified by the UFC. Only the undisputed champion is recognized for resolution purposes; an interim champion does not qualify unless elevated to undisputed status by the governing body. This market resolves Yes if Tom Aspinall is the undisputed champion recognized by the governing body, having won the title before December 31, 2026 and not having lost it by 11:59 PM EST, wins the title on December 31, 2026 with the result standing at 11:59 PM EST, or is suspended but not stripped of the title. This market resolves No if Tom Aspinall is stripped of the title, loses the title before or on December 31, 2026 by 11:59 PM EST, voluntarily relinquishes or vacates the title, or holds only an interim title when an undisputed champion exists. For title fights occurring on December 31, 2026, the result must be official by 11:59 PM EST; otherwise the market resolves based on the previous champion. Overturned results after 11:59 PM EST on December 31, 2026 do not affect resolution. If no champion is declared by the governing organization within two weeks of the expiration date, this market will settle at the last fair market price.
