Clacton By-Election Winner
Count Binface
2%+49002¢50.000
Count BinfaceYes
50.0x
No
1.01x
Nigel Farage
–No price
Nigel FarageYes
No
100.0x
This market will settle to Yes if Jonathan David Harvey, also known as Count Binface, wins the 2026 by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton that is expected to be held in August 2026. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities.
- Upcoming: Event startAug 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesAug 13, 2026 at 7:59 PM EDT
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Clacton By-Election Winner” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Clacton By-Election Winner. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.