This market will settle to Yes if the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment final value for September 2026 is greater than 46. Outcome sourced from the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market settles based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. If the specified metric is not reported within 90 days of the specified month, this market will settle based on the most recent previous final report of the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (https://www.sca.isr.umich.edu/).
This market lets you trade on the outcome of University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - September 2026. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.
This market will settle to Yes if the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment final value for September 2026 is greater than 46. Outcome sourced from the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market settles based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. If the specified metric is not reported within 90 days of the specified month, this market will settle based on the most recent previous final report of the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (https://www.sca.isr.umich.edu/).
This market lets you trade on the outcome of University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - September 2026. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.