US GDP Growth in 2026?
US GDP Growth in 2026?
Above 1.0%
–No price
Above 1.0%
Above 1.4%
–No price
Above 1.4%
Above 1.8%
–No price
Above 1.8%
Above 2.2%
–No price
Above 2.2%
Above 2.6%
–No price
Above 2.6%
Above 3.0%
–No price
Above 3.0%
Above 3.4%
–No price
Above 3.4%
This market will settle to Yes if the rate of real U.S. GDP growth for 2026 is above 1.0%. Outcome sourced from the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
The rate of real U.S. GDP growth for 2026 refers to the comparison between the annual level of GDP for 2025 and the annual level of GDP for 2026. Settlement is based on the Q4 Advance Estimate GDP release published by the BEA, currently scheduled for early 2027. Any subsequent revisions to this figure will not be considered for settlement purposes.
If the figure is not published on the scheduled date, the first officially published figure for the rate of real U.S. GDP growth in 2026 will be used. If no qualifying GDP figure is released within three months of the Advance Estimate GDP scheduled release date, this market will resolve based on data from the most recent previous release with available data.
- Upcoming: Event startSep 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesBy end of Jan 29, 2027
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “US GDP Growth in 2026?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of US GDP Growth in 2026?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.