How Low Will Beef Prices Get by Dec. 31?
How Low Will Beef Prices Get by Dec. 31?
$6.80
99%99¢1.010
$6.80
1.01x
$6.70
91%91¢1.099
$6.70
1.1x
$6.60
98%98¢1.020
$6.60
1.02x
$6.50
16%16¢6.250
$6.50
6.25x
$6.40
7%7¢14.286
$6.40
14.29x
This market will settle to Yes if the U.S. city average price of ground beef, 100% beef, per pound for any month from September 2026 through December 2026 is less than or equal to $6.80. Outcome sourced from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market settles based on the average price of ground beef, 100% beef, per pound published monthly in the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index Average Price Data, viewable at https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/APU0000703112. Each month's figure is taken as first published; later revisions will not be considered.
If the Bureau of Labor Statistics does not publish complete data for the specified period by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will settle based on the data published up to that point.
For full rules, see: https://www.polymarketexchange.com/files/products/PMUS%20-%20GBAPC%20-%20(2026.10.06).pdf
- Upcoming: Event startOct 1, 2026 at 10:32 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesJan 13, 2027 at 11:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “How Low Will Beef Prices Get by Dec. 31?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of How Low Will Beef Prices Get by Dec. 31?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.