Arizona Transgender School Sports and Facilities Restriction Referendum
Arizona Transgender School Sports and Facilities Restriction Referendum
Passes?
64%64¢1.562
Passes?
1.56x
This market will settle to Yes if Arizona Proposition 318, also referred to as "Require All Schools and Athletic Associations to Restrict Sports Participation and Access to Private Spaces Based on Sex" is approved by the numerical threshold of voters in Arizona required for it to pass at the 2026 statewide general election. Outcome sourced from the government of Arizona.
- Upcoming: Event startNov 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM EST
- Upcoming: Market closesNov 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
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What is the “Arizona Transgender School Sports and Facilities Restriction Referendum” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Arizona Transgender School Sports and Facilities Restriction Referendum. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.