CPI YoY in August
CPI YoY in August
Above 2.9%
99%99¢1.010
Above 2.9%
1.01x
Above 3.0%
98%98¢1.020
Above 3.0%
1.02x
Above 3.1%
94%94¢1.064
Above 3.1%
1.06x
Above 3.2%
86%86¢1.163
Above 3.2%
1.16x
Above 3.3%
63%63¢1.587
Above 3.3%
1.59x
Above 3.4%
28%28¢3.571
Above 3.4%
3.57x
Above 3.5%
7%7¢14.286
Above 3.5%
14.29x
Above 3.8%
3%3¢33.333
Above 3.8%
33.33x
Above 3.6%
2%2¢50.000
Above 3.6%
50.0x
Above 3.7%
2%2¢50.000
Above 3.7%
50.0x
Above 3.9%
2%2¢50.000
Above 3.9%
50.0x
Above 4.0%
2%2¢50.000
Above 4.0%
50.0x
This market will settle to Yes if U.S. inflation, before seasonal adjustment, over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 (CPI YoY) is above 2.9%. Outcome sourced from BLS.
Settlement is based on the Consumer Price Index release published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), currently scheduled for release on September 11, 2026. Any subsequent revisions to this figure will not be considered for settlement purposes.
If the BLS does not publish CPI YoY for August 2026 on the Consumer Price Index scheduled release date, the first figure officially published by BLS for CPI YoY in August 2026 will be used for settlement. If no qualifying figure is published within three months of the scheduled release date, this market will resolve based on data from the most recent previous month with available data.
- Upcoming: Event startSep 11, 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesBy end of Sep 11, 2026
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “CPI YoY in August” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of CPI YoY in August. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.