CPI YoY in July
Above 3.1%
96%-240096¢1.042
Above 3.1%
Yes
1.04x
No
16.67x
Above 3.2%
89%-80989¢1.124
Above 3.2%
Yes
1.12x
No
8.33x
Above 3.3%
53%-11353¢1.887
Above 3.3%
Yes
1.89x
No
2.04x
Above 3.4%
50%-10050¢2.000
Above 3.4%
Yes
No
Above 3.5%
7%+13297¢14.286
Above 3.5%
Yes
14.29x
No
1.05x
Above 3.6%
3%+32333¢33.333
Above 3.6%
Yes
33.33x
No
1.02x
Above 3.7%
2%+49002¢50.000
Above 3.7%
Yes
50.0x
No
1.01x
Above 3.8%
2%+49002¢50.000
Above 3.8%
Yes
50.0x
No
1.01x
Above 3.9%
2%+49002¢50.000
Above 3.9%
Yes
50.0x
No
1.01x
Above 2.9%
–No price
Above 2.9%
Yes
No
100.0x
Above 3.0%
–No price
Above 3.0%
Yes
No
100.0x
Above 3.4%
–No price
Above 3.4%
Yes
No
This market will settle to Yes if U.S. inflation, before seasonal adjustment, over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 (CPI YoY) is above 2.9%. Outcome sourced from BLS.
Settlement is based on the Consumer Price Index release published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), currently scheduled for release on August 12, 2026. Any subsequent revisions to this figure will not be considered for settlement purposes.
If the BLS does not publish CPI YoY for July 2026 on the Consumer Price Index scheduled release date, the first figure officially published by BLS for CPI YoY in July 2026 will be used for settlement. If no qualifying figure is published within three months of the scheduled release date, this market will resolve based on data from the most recent previous month with available data.
- Upcoming: Event startAug 12, 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesAug 12, 2026 at 7:59 PM EDT
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “CPI YoY in July” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of CPI YoY in July. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.