CPI YoY in October
CPI YoY in October
95 chatting
Above 3.2%
99%99¢1.010
Above 3.2%
1.01x
Above 3.3%
–No price
Above 3.3%
Above 3.4%
–No price
Above 3.4%
Above 3.5%
–No price
Above 3.5%
Above 3.6%
–No price
Above 3.6%
Above 3.7%
20%20¢5.000
Above 3.7%
5.0x
Above 3.8%
20%20¢5.000
Above 3.8%
5.0x
Above 3.9%
16%16¢6.250
Above 3.9%
6.25x
Above 4.0%
17%17¢5.882
Above 4.0%
5.88x
Above 4.1%
7%7¢14.286
Above 4.1%
14.29x
Above 4.2%
1%1¢100.000
Above 4.2%
100.0x
Above 4.3%
2%2¢50.000
Above 4.3%
50.0x
This market will settle to Yes if U.S. inflation, before seasonal adjustment, over the 12-month period ending in October 2026 (CPI YoY) is above 3.2%. Outcome sourced from BLS.
Settlement is based on the Consumer Price Index release published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), currently scheduled for release on November 10, 2026. Any subsequent revisions to this figure will not be considered for settlement purposes.
If the BLS does not publish CPI YoY for October 2026 on the Consumer Price Index scheduled release date, the first figure officially published by BLS for CPI YoY in October 2026 will be used for settlement. If no qualifying figure is published within three months of the scheduled release date, this market will resolve based on data from the most recent previous month with available data.
For full rules, see: https://www.polymarketexchange.com/files/products/PMUS%20-%20CPIC%20-%20(2026.04.06).pdf
- Upcoming: Event startNov 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM EST
- Upcoming: Market closesNov 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “CPI YoY in October” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of CPI YoY in October. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.