This market will settle to Yes if the seasonally adjusted one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 (Core CPI MoM) is above -0.2%. Outcome sourced from BLS.
Settlement is based on the Consumer Price Index release published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), currently scheduled for release on October 14, 2026. Any subsequent revisions to this figure will not be considered for settlement purposes.
If the BLS does not publish Core CPI MoM for September 2026 on the Consumer Price Index scheduled release date, the first figure officially published by BLS for Core CPI MoM in September 2026 will be used for settlement. If no qualifying figure is published within three months of the scheduled release date, this market will resolve based on data from the most recent previous month with available data.
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Core CPI MoM in September. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.
This market will settle to Yes if the seasonally adjusted one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 (Core CPI MoM) is above -0.2%. Outcome sourced from BLS.
Settlement is based on the Consumer Price Index release published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), currently scheduled for release on October 14, 2026. Any subsequent revisions to this figure will not be considered for settlement purposes.
If the BLS does not publish Core CPI MoM for September 2026 on the Consumer Price Index scheduled release date, the first figure officially published by BLS for Core CPI MoM in September 2026 will be used for settlement. If no qualifying figure is published within three months of the scheduled release date, this market will resolve based on data from the most recent previous month with available data.
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Core CPI MoM in September. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.