Fed Rate Hike in 2026?
Hike
59%-14459¢1.695
Hike
Yes
1.69x
No
2.38x
This market will settle to Yes if the United States Federal Reserve increases the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from the Federal Reserve.
Rate changes taken at scheduled FOMC meetings or at unscheduled or emergency meetings will both qualify.
- Upcoming: Event startDec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: Market closesDec 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Fed Rate Hike in 2026?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Fed Rate Hike in 2026?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.