This market will settle to Yes if the US national average price of regular gas is greater than $4.2250 for October 22, 2026. Outcome sourced from AAA. This market settles based on the US national average gas prices published daily by AAA at https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Each date's price is used as published by AAA at 10:00 AM ET on that date, provided the price has been updated for that date. If the price has not been updated at that time, the first price updated for that date will be used. If the price for the specified date has not been published within 3 calendar days (ET) of that date, this market will settle to No. For full rules, see: https://www.polymarketexchange.com/files/products/PMUS%20-%20AAAGASPC%20-%20(2026.08.07).pdf.
This market lets you trade on the outcome of US Gas Prices on October 22nd. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.