This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee receives the most valid votes of any candidate in Maricopa County in the 2026 Arizona Governor election. Outcome sourced from the Government of Arizona.
Vote totals will be inclusive of all valid votes cast in Maricopa County, as reflected in the certified results from the Government of Arizona. If multiple candidates tie for the most votes in Maricopa County, Yes contract holders for each tied candidate receive $1.00 divided by the number of tied candidates, rounded down to the nearest tick, per contract.
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Arizona Governor Election: Maricopa County Winner. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.
This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee receives the most valid votes of any candidate in Maricopa County in the 2026 Arizona Governor election. Outcome sourced from the Government of Arizona.
Vote totals will be inclusive of all valid votes cast in Maricopa County, as reflected in the certified results from the Government of Arizona. If multiple candidates tie for the most votes in Maricopa County, Yes contract holders for each tied candidate receive $1.00 divided by the number of tied candidates, rounded down to the nearest tick, per contract.
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Arizona Governor Election: Maricopa County Winner. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.