California Governor Election Winner
Xavier Becerra
96%-240096¢1.042
Xavier BecerraYes
1.04x
No
20.0x
Steve Hilton
5%+19005¢20.000
Steve HiltonYes
20.0x
No
1.04x
If Xavier Becerra wins the 2026 California Governor Election this market will settle to Yes. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities.
- Upcoming: Event startNov 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM EST
- Upcoming: Market closesNov 3, 2026 at 6:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “California Governor Election Winner” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of California Governor Election Winner. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.