California Governor Election: Turnout
California Governor Election: Turnout
Above 14.5M
–No price
Above 14.5M
Above 14M
–No price
Above 14M
Above 13.5M
–No price
Above 13.5M
Above 13M
–No price
Above 13M
Above 12.5M
–No price
Above 12.5M
Above 12M
–No price
Above 12M
Above 11.5M
–No price
Above 11.5M
Above 11M
–No price
Above 11M
Above 10.5M
–No price
Above 10.5M
This market will settle to Yes if the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California is above 14,500,000 (14.5M). Outcome sourced from the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Settlement will be based on the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
- Completed: Event startAug 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT
- Completed: Market closesBy end of Nov 3, 2026
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “California Governor Election: Turnout” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of California Governor Election: Turnout. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.