MA-01 Democratic Primary Winner
MA-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Richard Neal
100%100¢1.000
Settled outcome: Yes
Richard NealSettled outcome: Yes
Jeromie Whalen
0%0¢1,000,000.000
Settled outcome: No
Jeromie WhalenSettled outcome: No
This market will settle to Yes if Jeromie Whalen wins the Democratic nomination to contest the 2026 MA-01 House election. Outcome sourced from relevant party authorities.
- Completed: Event startAug 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT
- Completed: Market closesBy end of Sep 1, 2026
- Completed: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “MA-01 Democratic Primary Winner” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of MA-01 Democratic Primary Winner. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.