Jobs Numbers in August 2026
Above -100,000
99%-990099¢1.010
Above -100,000
Yes
1.01x
No
1.96x
Above 0
82%-45682¢1.220
Above 0
Yes
1.22x
No
2.7x
Above 150,000
51%-10451¢1.961
Above 150,000
Yes
1.96x
No
1.01x
Above 50,000
47%+11347¢2.128
Above 50,000
Yes
2.13x
No
1.85x
Above 100,000
40%+15040¢2.500
Above 100,000
Yes
2.5x
No
1.56x
Above -50,000
–No price
Above -50,000
Yes
No
This market will settle to Yes if the change in total U.S. nonfarm payroll employment reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026 is above -100,000. Outcome sourced from BLS.
Settlement is based on the Employment Situation Report release published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), currently scheduled for release on September 4, 2026. Any subsequent revisions to this figure will not be considered for settlement purposes.
If no qualifying change in U.S. nonfarm payroll employment figure for the specified month is released within three months of the Employment Situation Report scheduled release date, this market will resolve based on data from the most recent previous month with available data.
- Upcoming: Event startSep 4, 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesSep 4, 2026 at 7:59 PM EDT
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Jobs Numbers in August 2026” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Jobs Numbers in August 2026. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.