2028 Presidential Election: California Winner
2028 Presidential Election: California Winner
1 chatting
Democratic Party
51%50.6¢1.976
Democratic Party1.98x
Republican Party
51%50.6¢1.976
Republican Party1.98x
This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee receives the most valid statewide votes of any candidate in California in the 2028 United States Presidential Election that is expected to take place on November 7, 2028. Outcome sourced from relevant state electoral authorities.
This market settles based on the candidate that wins the most statewide votes in the specified state in the 2028 US presidential election, regardless of the subsequent distribution of that states electoral college votes. For states using ranked-choice voting or another multi-round system, the vote count from the final round will be used.
If multiple candidates tie for the most votes from California, Yes contract holders for each tied candidate receive $1.00 divided by the number of tied candidates, rounded down to the nearest tick, per contract.
- Upcoming: Event startNov 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM EST
- Upcoming: Market closesNov 7, 2028 at 11:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “2028 Presidential Election: California Winner” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of 2028 Presidential Election: California Winner. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.