2028 US Presidential Election Winner (Party)
2028 US Presidential Election Winner (Party)
Democratic Party
63%63¢1.587
Democratic Party1.59x
Republican Party
36%36¢2.778
Republican Party2.78x
This market will settle to Yes if the nominee of the Democratic Party wins the 2028 United States Presidential election. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities.
The election winner is determined by electoral college votes. If no individual receives a majority of electoral college votes, this market will settle based on the first person formally selected, in a non-acting capacity, to assume the Presidency of the United States for the presidential term beginning after the 2028 United States presidential election under the subsequent constitutional process.
- Upcoming: Event startAug 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesBy end of Nov 7, 2028
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “2028 US Presidential Election Winner (Party)” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of 2028 US Presidential Election Winner (Party). Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.