This market will settle to Yes if Gavin Newsom announces they will run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from public announcements and communications from Gavin Newsom.
To qualify, Gavin Newsom, or their authorized representatives, must publicly and unambiguously declare that Gavin Newsom will be a candidate in the 2028 United States Presidential election, including a run for a party's nomination. Official candidacy filing is not required. Conditional, non-definitive, or exploratory statements do not qualify, including statements that Gavin Newsom is considering or open to a run, likely to run, or will run if specified conditions are met.
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Who Will Announce a Presidential Run in 2026?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.
This market will settle to Yes if Gavin Newsom announces they will run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from public announcements and communications from Gavin Newsom.
To qualify, Gavin Newsom, or their authorized representatives, must publicly and unambiguously declare that Gavin Newsom will be a candidate in the 2028 United States Presidential election, including a run for a party's nomination. Official candidacy filing is not required. Conditional, non-definitive, or exploratory statements do not qualify, including statements that Gavin Newsom is considering or open to a run, likely to run, or will run if specified conditions are met.
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Who Will Announce a Presidential Run in 2026?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.