Michigan Senate Election: Saginaw County Winner
Michigan Senate Election: Saginaw County Winner
561 chatting
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
99%99¢1.010
Abdul El-Sayed (D)1.01x
Mike Rogers (R)
2%2¢50.000
Mike Rogers (R)50.0x
This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee receives the most valid votes of any candidate in Saginaw County in the 2026 Michigan Senate election. Outcome sourced from the Government of Michigan.
Vote totals will be inclusive of all valid votes cast in Saginaw County, as reflected in the certified results from the Government of Michigan. If multiple candidates tie for the most votes in Saginaw County, Yes contract holders for each tied candidate receive $1.00 divided by the number of tied candidates, rounded down to the nearest tick, per contract.
- Upcoming: Event startNov 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM EST
- Upcoming: Market closesNov 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
Insider trading and market manipulation are prohibited. Polymarket US rules prohibit, among other things, insider trading, trading by anyone who can control or influence the outcome, and market manipulation.
Candidates in this race may not trade on this market. You also may not trade on this market if any of the following applies to you:
Do not trade on stolen confidential information. You may not trade on any contract if you possess confidential information about the outcome or likely outcome of the underlying event, if using that information would violate a preexisting duty or obligation of trust or confidence you owe to another person or entity.
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What is the “Michigan Senate Election: Saginaw County Winner” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Michigan Senate Election: Saginaw County Winner. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.