
This market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Democratic Party wins the 2027 special election for US Senator from Minnesota. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party if they are the nominee of, or have a ballot-listed affiliation with, that party. For the purposes of this market, the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party (DFL) counts as the Democratic Party.
Candidates already listed as independents will not be considered to represent any party regardless of any caucus affiliation they may have, or if they become the nominee of a listed party.
The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
For full rules, see: https://polymarketexchange.com/files/product-terms/USSEWC.pdf.
This market lets you trade on the outcome of 2027 Minnesota Senate Special Election Winner. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.