Oregon Senate Election Winner
Oregon Senate Election Winner
Jeff Merkley (D)
99%99¢1.010
Jeff Merkley (D)1.01x
David Brock Smith (R)
6%6¢16.667
David Brock Smith (R)16.67x
This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for US Senator from Oregon. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities.
The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
- Upcoming: Event startAug 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesBy end of Nov 3, 2026
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Oregon Senate Election Winner” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Oregon Senate Election Winner. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.