Texas Senate Election Winner
Ken Paxton (Rep)
52%-10852¢1.923
Ken Paxton (Rep)Yes
1.92x
No
2.04x
James Talarico (Dem)
49%+10449¢2.041
James Talarico (Dem)Yes
2.04x
No
1.92x
If the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 election for US Senator from Texas, this market will settle to Yes. Outcome verified from relevant government authorities.
- Upcoming: Event startNov 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM EST
- Upcoming: Market closesNov 3, 2026 at 6:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Texas Senate Election Winner” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Texas Senate Election Winner. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.