Texas Senate Election: Denton County Winner
Texas Senate Election: Denton County Winner
1,761 chatting
Ken Paxton (R)
52%52¢1.923
Ken Paxton (R)1.92x
James Talarico (D)
42%42¢2.381
James Talarico (D)2.38x
This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee receives the most valid votes of any candidate in Denton County in the 2026 Texas Senate election. Outcome sourced from the Government of Texas.
Vote totals will be inclusive of all valid votes cast in Denton County, as reflected in the certified results from the Government of Texas. If multiple candidates tie for the most votes in Denton County, Yes contract holders for each tied candidate receive $1.00 divided by the number of tied candidates, rounded down to the nearest tick, per contract.
- Upcoming: Event startNov 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM EST
- Upcoming: Market closesNov 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
Insider trading and market manipulation are prohibited. Polymarket US rules prohibit, among other things, insider trading, trading by anyone who can control or influence the outcome, and market manipulation.
Candidates in this race may not trade on this market. You also may not trade on this market if any of the following applies to you:
Do not trade on stolen confidential information. You may not trade on any contract if you possess confidential information about the outcome or likely outcome of the underlying event, if using that information would violate a preexisting duty or obligation of trust or confidence you owe to another person or entity.
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Do not trade to manipulate market prices or mislead others. You may not place trades or orders for the purpose of artificially influencing market prices, creating a false or misleading impression of market activity, or distorting the information reflected by market prices. Trading intended to manipulate market prices or mislead others about the likelihood of an outcome is strictly prohibited.
What is the “Texas Senate Election: Denton County Winner” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Texas Senate Election: Denton County Winner. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.