Michigan Senate Election: Turnout
Michigan Senate Election: Turnout
Above 4.6M
99%99¢1.010
Above 4.6M
1.01x
Above 4.2M
99%99¢1.010
Above 4.2M
1.01x
Above 4.8M
86%86¢1.163
Above 4.8M
1.16x
Above 4.4M
85%85¢1.176
Above 4.4M
1.18x
Above 5M
46%46¢2.174
Above 5M
2.17x
Above 5.2M
36%36¢2.778
Above 5.2M
2.78x
Above 5.4M
26%26¢3.846
Above 5.4M
3.85x
Above 5.6M
12%12¢8.333
Above 5.6M
8.33x
This market will settle to Yes if the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for US Senator from Michigan is above 5,600,000 (5.6M). Outcome sourced from the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Settlement will be based on the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
- Upcoming: Event startAug 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesBy end of Nov 3, 2026
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Michigan Senate Election: Turnout” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Michigan Senate Election: Turnout. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.