Will SNAP Participation Reach 40M Before 2028?
Will SNAP Participation Reach 40M Before 2028?
133 chatting
40M
41%41¢2.439
40M
2.44x
This market will settle to Yes if national SNAP participation (persons) for any month from July 2026 through December 2027 is greater than or equal to 40,000,000. Outcome sourced from the U.S. Department of Agriculture, Food and Nutrition Administration.
This market settles based on national SNAP participation published monthly as "Participation Persons", currently in the "National and/or State Level Monthly and/or Annual Data" section of the USDA Food and Nutrition Administration's SNAP Data Tables, viewable at https://www.fna.usda.gov/pd/supplemental-nutrition-assistance-program-snap. Each month's figure is taken as first published; later revisions will not be considered.
If the USDA Food and Nutrition Administration does not publish complete data for the specified period by June 28, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will settle based on the data published up to that point.
For full rules, see: https://www.polymarketexchange.com/files/products/PMUS%20-%20SNAPC%20-%20(2026.10.06).pdf
- Upcoming: Event startOct 1, 2026 at 10:32 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesMar 17, 2028 at 11:59 PM EDT
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Will SNAP Participation Reach 40M Before 2028?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Will SNAP Participation Reach 40M Before 2028?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.