US Tariff Revenue in FY27?
US Tariff Revenue in FY27?
57 chatting
$150B
93%93¢1.075
$150B
1.08x
$200B
78%78¢1.282
$200B
1.28x
$250B
62%62¢1.613
$250B
1.61x
$300B
45%45¢2.222
$300B
2.22x
This market will settle to Yes if the fiscal-year-to-date total of net customs duties receipts reported by the U.S. Department of the Treasury in the Monthly Treasury Statement for September 2027 is greater than or equal to $150,000,000,000. Outcome sourced from the U.S. Department of the Treasury.
This market settles based on the fiscal-year-to-date net receipts for Customs Duties reported in the Monthly Treasury Statement, currently in Table 4, viewable at https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/monthly-treasury-statement/. Each month's figure is taken as first published; later revisions will not be considered.
If the U.S. Department of the Treasury does not publish the fiscal-year-to-date total of net customs duties receipts for September 2027 by December 29, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will settle based on the fiscal-year-to-date total of net customs duties receipts for the most recent month prior to September 2027 for which it has been published.
For full rules, see: https://www.polymarketexchange.com/files/products/PMUS%20-%20CUSDC%20-%20(2026.10.06).pdf
- Upcoming: Event startOct 1, 2026 at 10:32 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesOct 13, 2027 at 11:59 PM EDT
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “US Tariff Revenue in FY27?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of US Tariff Revenue in FY27?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.