Will Union Membership Rise in 2027?
Will Union Membership Rise in 2027?
54 chatting
Yes
38%38¢2.632
Yes
2.63x
This market will settle to Yes if the annual average number of wage and salary workers age 16 and over who were members of unions in 2027, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Union Members release for 2027, is greater than the number reported for 2026 in the Union Members release for 2026. Outcome sourced from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market settles based on the Union Members release published annually, viewable at https://www.bls.gov/news.release/union2.toc.htm. The number of union members is currently reported in thousands in Table 1 of each release. Each year's figure is taken as first published; later revisions will not be considered.
If the Bureau of Labor Statistics does not publish the figure for 2026 or 2027 by March 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, the figure for the most recent year published prior to the missing year will be used in its place.
For full rules, see: https://www.polymarketexchange.com/files/products/PMUS%20-%20UNMBC%20-%20(2026.10.06).pdf
- Upcoming: Event startOct 1, 2026 at 10:32 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesJan 14, 2028 at 11:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Will Union Membership Rise in 2027?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Will Union Membership Rise in 2027?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.