VMA Video of the Year 2026
VMA Video of the Year 2026
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)
58%58¢1.724
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)
1.72x
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)
25%25¢4.000
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)
4.0x
Confessions II The Film (Madonna)
12%12¢8.333
Confessions II The Film (Madonna)
8.33x
Tears (Sabrina Carpenter)
4%4¢25.000
Tears (Sabrina Carpenter)
25.0x
Storm (Gener8ion featuring Yung Lean)
3%3¢33.333
Storm (Gener8ion featuring Yung Lean)
33.33x
I Just Might (Bruno Mars)
2%2¢50.000
I Just Might (Bruno Mars)
50.0x
This market will settle to Yes if The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift wins Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards. Outcome sourced from MTV.
- Upcoming: Event startSep 18, 2026 at 12:00 AM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesBy end of Sep 27, 2026
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “VMA Video of the Year 2026” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of VMA Video of the Year 2026. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Can I sell my position before the market resolves?
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
What happens if I hold winning shares?
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Where do the odds come from?
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.