Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?
Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?
Ramzan Kadyrov - Head of the Chechen Republic
51%51¢1.961
Ramzan Kadyrov - Head of the Chechen Republic
1.96x
Christopher Luxon - Prime Minister of New Zealand
49%49¢2.041
Christopher Luxon - Prime Minister of New Zealand
2.04x
Sebastien Lecornu - Prime Minister of France
42%42¢2.381
Sebastien Lecornu - Prime Minister of France
2.38x
Benjamin Netanyahu - Prime Minister of Israel
41%41¢2.439
Benjamin Netanyahu - Prime Minister of Israel
2.44x
Giorgia Meloni - Prime Minister of Italy
35%35¢2.857
Giorgia Meloni - Prime Minister of Italy
2.86x
Friedrich Merz - Chancellor of Germany
32%32¢3.125
Friedrich Merz - Chancellor of Germany
3.13x
Xi Jinping - General Secretary of the Communist Party of China
23%23¢4.348
Xi Jinping - General Secretary of the Communist Party of China
4.35x
Vladimir Putin - President of Russia
22%22¢4.545
Vladimir Putin - President of Russia
4.55x
Felix Tshisekedi - President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo
15%15¢6.667
Felix Tshisekedi - President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo
6.67x
Miguel Diaz-Canel - First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba
13%13¢7.692
Miguel Diaz-Canel - First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba
7.69x
Daniel Noboa - President of Ecuador
12%12¢8.333
Daniel Noboa - President of Ecuador
8.33x
Emmanuel Macron - President of France
10%10¢10.000
Emmanuel Macron - President of France
10.0x
Mark Carney - Prime Minister of Canada
10%10¢10.000
Mark Carney - Prime Minister of Canada
10.0x
Sanae Takaichi - Prime Minister of Japan
9%9¢11.111
Sanae Takaichi - Prime Minister of Japan
11.11x
Cyril Ramaphosa - President of South Africa
6%6¢16.667
Cyril Ramaphosa - President of South Africa
16.67x
Jens-Frederik Nielsen - Prime Minister of Greenland
6%6¢16.667
Jens-Frederik Nielsen - Prime Minister of Greenland
16.67x
Lee Jae Myung - President of South Korea
6%6¢16.667
Lee Jae Myung - President of South Korea
16.67x
Nayib Bukele - President of El Salvador
6%6¢16.667
Nayib Bukele - President of El Salvador
16.67x
Mette Frederiksen - Prime Minister of Denmark
3%3¢33.333
Mette Frederiksen - Prime Minister of Denmark
33.33x
Narendra Modi - Prime Minister of India
3%3¢33.333
Narendra Modi - Prime Minister of India
33.33x
Claudia Sheinbaum - President of Mexico
2%2¢50.000
Claudia Sheinbaum - President of Mexico
50.0x
Javier Milei - President of Argentina
2%2¢50.000
Javier Milei - President of Argentina
50.0x
Kim Jong Un - Supreme Leader of North Korea
2%2¢50.000
Kim Jong Un - Supreme Leader of North Korea
50.0x
Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva - President of Brazil
2%2¢50.000
Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva - President of Brazil
50.0x
Pedro Sanchez - Prime Minister of Spain
2%2¢50.000
Pedro Sanchez - Prime Minister of Spain
50.0x
Recep Tayyip Erdogan - President of Turkiye
2%2¢50.000
Recep Tayyip Erdogan - President of Turkiye
50.0x
Rodrigo Paz Pereira - President of Bolivia
2%2¢50.000
Rodrigo Paz Pereira - President of Bolivia
50.0x
Volodymyr Zelenskyy - President of Ukraine
2%2¢50.000
Volodymyr Zelenskyy - President of Ukraine
50.0x
This market will settle to Yes if Ramzan Kadyrov formally ceases to hold the position of Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from Ramzan Kadyrov and the government of Russia.
Ramzan Kadyrov must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person's duties in the specified position do not qualify.
- Upcoming: Event startSep 9, 2026 at 7:25 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesBy end of Dec 31, 2026
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
How are prices determined?
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
When does this market resolve?
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
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