
This market will settle to Yes if the price of XRP is at or above $1.50000 at any point from the later of this market's listing and 5:00PM ET on Oct 23, 2026 until 5:00PM ET on Oct 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will settle to No. Outcome sourced from CF Benchmarks' XRP-Dollar Real-Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI), available at https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/XRPUSD_RTI. The market settles based on the CF Benchmarks XRP-Dollar Real-Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) using a trimmed mean calculation over any sixty second period, excluding the top 20% and bottom 20% of values: the XRPUSD_RTI prices published during the sixty seconds are collected, the highest 20% and lowest 20% of those values are removed, and the remaining values are averaged, rounded to the nearest 5 decimal places. If this trimmed mean is at or above $1.50000 at any point during the measurement window, the market settles to Yes, and may settle early at that time. Please note that this market is about the price according to CF Benchmarks' XRPUSD_RTI, not according to other sources or spot markets.
This market lets you trade on the outcome of How high will XRP get by 5:00PM ET on Fri, Oct 30?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.