Any Country Withdraws From NATO?
Any Country Withdraws From NATO?
720 chatting
By December 31, 2026
4%4¢25.000
By December 31, 2026
25.0x
By December 31, 2027
11%11¢9.091
By December 31, 2027
9.09x
This market will settle to Yes if any NATO member state formally initiates its withdrawal from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from NATO.
A formal initiation of withdrawal refers to a NATO member state taking an official action to initiate its withdrawal from NATO under the governing framework of NATO (e.g., a submission of a notice of denunciation under Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty). Legal or political challenges, reversals, or other developments which occur after the formal initiation of withdrawal do not impact settlement. Where no official process for withdrawal exists or is relevant, withdrawal actions taken by a NATO member state may qualify if they are official and clearly directed at withdrawal from NATO. If NATO formally dissolves or otherwise ceases to exist, such dissolution will be considered a withdrawal.
- Upcoming: Event startSep 25, 2026 at 4:40 PM EDT
- Upcoming: Market closesDec 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM EST
- Upcoming: PayoutUsually within 25 min of market closing
What is the “Any Country Withdraws From NATO?” prediction market?
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Any Country Withdraws From NATO?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
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Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
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