Geopolitics

Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal?

Mon, Aug 31International Politics
Yes
9.09x
No
1.11x

US Withdraws From NATO?

Thu, Dec 31International Politics
Yes
50.0x
No
1.01x

What Will Be in a US-Iran Deal in 2026?

Thu, Dec 31International Politics
Dilution of Iran's Uranium
7.69x
5% Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)
8.33x
6 markets

Bab el-Mandeb Strait Effectively Closed?

Thu, Dec 31International Politics
Yes
7.69x
No
1.14x

Putin Meets With Zelenskyy?

Thu, Dec 31International Politics
Yes
33.33x
No
1.02x

US-Iran Nuclear Deal?

Wed, Mar 31International Politics
By March 31, 2027
3.85x
By December 31, 2026
9.09x
2 markets

Any Country Withdraws From NATO?

Fri, Dec 31International Politics
By December 31, 2027
9.09x
By December 31, 2026
25.0x
2 markets

Next UN Secretary-General?

Wed, Jun 30International Politics
Alicia Barcena
Amina J. Mohammed
17 markets