This market will settle to Yes if Alicia Barcena is the next person to formally assume the position of Secretary-General of the United Nations between Contract Issuance and June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from the United Nations.
A person will be considered to assume the position of Secretary-General of the United Nations when they are appointed to the position by resolution of the United Nations General Assembly. Acting or interim Secretaries-General will not qualify.
This market lets you trade on the outcome of Next UN Secretary-General?. Prices reflect the market's current estimate of each outcome's probability.
Prices move with supply and demand as traders buy and sell outcome shares. A price of 60¢ implies the market estimates a 60% chance.
The market resolves when the outcome is officially determined, per the resolution rules above. Winning shares redeem at $1.
Yes. You can sell your shares at the current market price any time before resolution — you never have to wait for the outcome.
Each winning share redeems at $1 once the market resolves. Your profit is the difference between $1 and what you paid per share.
Odds come from real traders backing their views with money, not from a bookmaker. Research shows prediction markets are among the most accurate forecasting tools available.