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All Markets: 2026 Midterm Election Odds | Polymarket
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Margin of Victory
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Turnout
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Lt. Governor
U.S House Midterm Winner
Democratic Party
1.09x
Democratic Party:
91%
91.4¢
1.094
Republican Party
10.87x
Republican Party:
9%
9.2¢
10.870
2 markets
U.S Senate Midterm Winner
Democratic Party
1.62x
Democratic Party:
62%
61.9¢
1.616
Republican Party
2.56x
Republican Party:
39%
39.1¢
2.558
2 markets
Texas Senate Election Winner
James Talarico (D)
1.64x
James Talarico (D):
61%
61¢
1.639
Ken Paxton (R)
2.38x
Ken Paxton (R):
42%
42¢
2.381
2 markets
California Governor Election Winner
Xavier Becerra
1.04x
Xavier Becerra:
96%
96¢
1.042
Steve Hilton
25.0x
Steve Hilton:
4%
4¢
25.000
2 markets
Georgia Governor Election Winner
Rick Jackson (R)
1.92x
Rick Jackson (R):
52%
52¢
1.923
Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)
1.96x
Keisha Lance Bottoms (D):
51%
51¢
1.961
2 markets
Iowa Senate Election Winner
Ashley Hinson (R)
1.75x
Ashley Hinson (R):
57%
57¢
1.754
Josh Turek (D)
2.22x
Josh Turek (D):
45%
45¢
2.222
2 markets
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Sherrod Brown (D)
1.69x
Sherrod Brown (D):
59%
59¢
1.695
Jon Husted (R)
2.44x
Jon Husted (R):
41%
41¢
2.439
2 markets
Maine Senate Election Winner
Troy Jackson (D)
1.67x
Troy Jackson (D):
60%
60¢
1.667
Susan Collins (R)
2.38x
Susan Collins (R):
42%
42¢
2.381
2 markets
2026 Midterms: Balance of Power
Democrats Sweep
1.61x
Democrats Sweep:
62%
62¢
1.613
D House, R Senate
3.33x
D House, R Senate:
30%
30¢
3.333
4 markets
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
1.35x
Abdul El-Sayed (D):
74%
74¢
1.351
Mike Rogers (R)
3.57x
Mike Rogers (R):
28%
28¢
3.571
2 markets
Iowa Governor Election Winner
Rob Sand (D)
1.18x
Rob Sand (D):
85%
85¢
1.176
Zach Lahn (R)
6.67x
Zach Lahn (R):
15%
15¢
6.667
2 markets
Arizona Governor Election Winner
Katie Hobbs (D)
1.15x
Katie Hobbs (D):
87%
87¢
1.149
Andy Biggs (R)
7.14x
Andy Biggs (R):
14%
14¢
7.143
2 markets
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola (D)
1.41x
Mary Peltola (D):
71%
71¢
1.408
Dan Sullivan (R)
3.45x
Dan Sullivan (R):
29%
29¢
3.448
2 markets
2026 Midterms: Republican Senate Seats?
48
6.67x
48:
15%
15¢
6.667
47
6.67x
47:
15%
15¢
6.667
6 markets
Michigan Governor Election Winner
Jocelyn Benson (D)
1.08x
Jocelyn Benson (D):
93%
93¢
1.075
John James (R)
12.5x
John James (R):
8%
8¢
12.500
3 markets
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
Peggy Flanagan (D)
1.11x
Peggy Flanagan (D):
90%
90¢
1.111
Michele Tafoya (R)
9.09x
Michele Tafoya (R):
11%
11¢
9.091
2 markets
Georgia Senate Election Winner
Jon Ossoff (D)
1.05x
Jon Ossoff (D):
95%
95¢
1.053
Mike Collins (R)
16.67x
Mike Collins (R):
6%
6¢
16.667
2 markets
North Carolina Senate Election Winner
Roy Cooper (D)
1.06x
Roy Cooper (D):
94%
94¢
1.064
Michael Whatley (R)
14.29x
Michael Whatley (R):
7%
7¢
14.286
2 markets
Ohio Governor Election Winner
Amy Acton (D)
1.61x
Amy Acton (D):
62%
62¢
1.613
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)
2.56x
Vivek Ramaswamy (R):
39%
39¢
2.564
2 markets
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
David Crowley (D)
1.18x
David Crowley (D):
85%
85¢
1.176
Tom Tiffany (R)
6.25x
Tom Tiffany (R):
16%
16¢
6.250
2 markets
Popular Midterms markets
U.S House Midterm Winner
91%
U.S Senate Midterm Winner
62%
Texas Senate Election Winner
61%
View all