International Politics

Prime Minister of Israel After the Next Election

Tue, Oct 27Intl. Elections
Gadi Eizenkot
1.61x
Avigdor Lieberman
4.35x
10 markets

Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal?

Mon, Aug 31Geopolitics
Yes
9.09x
No
1.11x

2027 French Presidential Election Winner

Sun, Apr 11Intl. Elections
Marine Le Pen
1.96x
David Lisnard
5.88x
11 markets

US Withdraws From NATO?

Thu, Dec 31Geopolitics
Yes
50.0x
No
1.01x

What Will Be in a US-Iran Deal in 2026?

Thu, Dec 31Geopolitics
Dilution of Iran's Uranium
7.69x
5% Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)
8.33x
6 markets

Bab el-Mandeb Strait Effectively Closed?

Thu, Dec 31Geopolitics
Yes
7.69x
No
1.14x

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Sun, Oct 24Intl. Elections
Javier Milei
2.17x
Axel Kicillof
2.94x
11 markets

Zelenskyy Officially Out as Ukraine President?

Wed, Jun 30Leaders
By June 30, 2027
4.76x
By December 31, 2026
25.0x
2 markets

Putin Meets With Zelenskyy?

Thu, Dec 31Geopolitics
Yes
33.33x
No
1.02x

US-Iran Nuclear Deal?

Wed, Mar 31US Politics
By March 31, 2027
3.85x
By December 31, 2026
9.09x
2 markets

Any Country Withdraws From NATO?

Fri, Dec 31Geopolitics
By December 31, 2027
9.09x
By December 31, 2026
25.0x
2 markets

Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?

Thu, Dec 31Leaders
Benjamin Netanyahu - Prime Minister of Israel
1.92x
Pedro Sanchez - Prime Minister of Spain
2.08x
28 markets

Netanyahu Arrested?

Thu, Dec 31Leaders
Yes
14.29x
No
1.06x

Andy Burnham Announced Out as UK PM?

Thu, Dec 31Leaders
Yes
20.0x
No
1.04x

Delcy Rodriguez Officially Out as Venezuela President?

Wed, Jun 30Leaders
By June 30, 2027
2.7x
By December 31, 2026
14.29x
2 markets

Prime Minister of Sweden After The Next Election

Sun, Sep 13Intl. Elections
Magdalena Andersson
Ebba Busch
50.0x
5 markets

Brazil, Israel, & US Senate Elections Combo

Tue, Nov 3US Politics
Lula, Bennett, Dems
Lula, Eizenkot, Dems
3 markets

Prime Minister of Spain After the Next Election

Mon, Mar 1Intl. Elections
Alberto Nunez Feijoo
1.06x
Carlos Cuerpo
2.22x
8 markets

Prime Minister of Serbia After the Next Election

Thu, Apr 1Intl. Elections
Branimir Jovanovic
Djuro Macut
10 markets

Next UN Secretary-General?

Wed, Jun 30Leaders
Alicia Barcena
Amina J. Mohammed
17 markets